Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.156333 0.182824 0.211938 0.246239 0.285477 0.328885 0.380470
2025-12-21 0.108774 0.143550 0.185977 0.241215 0.310860 0.395351 0.505160
2025-12-28 0.086115 0.124406 0.174872 0.245520 0.340995 0.464549 0.635359
2026-01-04 0.072595 0.113032 0.169817 0.254117 0.374531 0.538491 0.776327
2026-01-11 0.061862 0.102963 0.164003 0.259385 0.402296 0.605526 0.912560
2026-01-18 0.052926 0.093677 0.157381 0.261656 0.424730 0.665752 1.043166
2026-01-25 0.045419 0.085177 0.150376 0.261782 0.442986 0.720358 1.168964
2026-02-01 0.038745 0.076827 0.142205 0.258563 0.454943 0.765543 1.283175
2026-02-08 0.033123 0.069311 0.134230 0.254338 0.464234 0.806538 1.393146
2026-02-15 0.027703 0.061195 0.123971 0.244660 0.462917 0.829659 1.475386
2026-02-22 0.026069 0.060180 0.126430 0.257787 0.501914 0.921962 1.677505
2026-03-01 0.022322 0.054187 0.118620 0.250890 0.504342 0.952085 1.776700
2026-03-08 0.018959 0.048487 0.110725 0.243107 0.504767 0.979469 1.874720
2026-03-15 0.016283 0.043837 0.104324 0.237497 0.508715 1.013466 1.987174
2026-03-22 0.014790 0.041677 0.102855 0.241686 0.531891 1.084041 2.170172
2026-03-29 0.013788 0.040530 0.103423 0.250157 0.564248 1.173923 2.394521
2026-04-05 0.012661 0.038854 0.102549 0.255350 0.590280 1.253482 2.604624
2026-04-12 0.011477 0.036794 0.100478 0.257589 0.610233 1.322488 2.798903
2026-04-19 0.010313 0.034558 0.097651 0.257713 0.625542 1.383161 2.980602
2026-04-26 0.009122 0.031995 0.093634 0.254539 0.633259 1.428917 3.135627
2026-05-03 0.008033 0.029505 0.089430 0.250374 0.638274 1.469298 3.282209
2026-05-10 0.006862 0.026490 0.083367 0.240833 0.630010 1.481146 3.371178
2026-05-17 0.006678 0.026659 0.086035 0.253775 0.675315 1.609868 3.709523